After reading Roberts article about Napster, it raised more questions then answers for me personally. Like Josh said although napster is no longer around the similar sites are and the music industry continues to loose money. I am not sure what time frame Roberts was speaking of but it is 7 years later and no technology has overcome the "free" music online industry. I am sure his prediction will eventually be right but in how many years?
"As weird as it seems, car owners can actually be better off, at least in the long run, in a world where car stereo theft is ignored by the law. That produces a profit opportunity for manufacturers to create technologies that are cheaper for car owners to use to protect their stereos compared to the resource costs and higher taxes of using police and the courts."
I have a hard time believing this statement. Upon doing further research auto manufactures were installing high quality factory radios that they could make more profit on. People don't steal factory radios because they don't fit in other cars. I do realize my last statement could be twisted to the point that auto manufactures used this to deter radio theft but I am apt to think the bottom line was the ultimate reason.
I guess you could argue his hypothesis could be have been right. But if I made the statement that we would be better off by eliminating coal power plants, would that be correct? What if I said that we are actually better off keeping the coal power plants, would that be correct? Depending on what facts or how we look at it both statements could be correct. My point is making a predictions that cant be tested or on vague ideas is easy. For example I think that the Montreal Expos would have won the world series this year, they may have but we can't know (they no longer exist for you non MLB fans) so I guess I am neither wrong nor right. But I could find facts out there that would support my view.
I can't disagree or agree with Roberts statements especially since my Delorean is back in Illinois.